The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 12 fixture revealed, according to statistics

The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 12 fixture revealed, according to statistics
The dust is settling on another fascinating weekend of Premier League action and the results are in the record books.But do they reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?10

Chelsea star Willian looks frustrated in action against Everton.

We all know Manchester City dominated in their derby victory over rivals Man United but did Chelsea deserve to beat Everton and should Newcastle really have got all three points againsthigh-flying Bournemouth?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 12th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

 Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team may have been lucky to score so many in that match, or have an above average finisher scoring hard chances others would miss.

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Cardiff City vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Real result: 2-1xG result: 1.92-0.7510

Neil Etheridge was overjoyed by the result

Southampton vs Watford

Real result: 1-1xG result: 1.10-1.0710

Charlie Austin was unhappy following a disallowed goal

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth

Real result: 2-1xG result: 2.50-1.93getty10

Solomon Rondon bagged a brace at St James’ Park

Leicester City vs Burnley

Real result: 0-0xG result: 1.35-0.3210

Leicester paid tribute to Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha

Huddersfield Town vs West Ham United

Real result: 1-1xG result: 1.15-1.40

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur

Real result: 0-1xG result: 0.69-1.5510

It was a night to remember for Juan Foyth

Liverpool vs Fulham

Real result: 2-0xG result: 2.00-0.5710

Shaqiri’s superb finish doubled Liverpool’s lead

Chelsea vs Everton

Real result: 0-0xG result: 1.16-0.2010

Hazard couldn’t provide Chelsea’s inspiration

Manchester City vs Manchester United

Real result: 3-1xG result: 2.02-0.9710

Manchester City celebrate their second goal

Arsenal vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Real result: 1-1xG result: 0.97-1.9010

Bernd Leno was man-of-the-match for Arsenal

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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28

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xg explains With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished It's always best to expect the unexpected in the Premier League. Liverpool were ahead in the title race before their clash with struggling rivals Everton but instead of defeating them in the Merseyside derby they […]
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 11 fixture revealed, according to statistics With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished
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Manchester United and Man City go head-to-head on Sunday in a huge derby clash in the Premier League. It's a fixture which is notoriously unpredictable with the Red Devils beating their rivals at the end of last season to postpone the title celebrations of Pep Guardiola's men.

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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics Written by: fpnews Posted on: February 28, 2019 Fans were treated to a bumper set of midweek games with all 20 Premier League teams in action in the Premier League.
The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics. Find out below thanks to expected goals statistics from
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Predicting Football Results With Statistical Modelling Combining the world's most popular sport with everyone's favourite discrete probability distribution, this post predicts football matches using the Poisson distribution.
The most likely result in every Premier League match in